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Article January 12, 2026

Rethinking Third-Party Risk Management in an Age of Geopolitical Uncertainty

Rethinking Third-Party Risk Management in an Age of Geopolitical Uncertainty

Saima Sabir, Group Head of Third Party Risk Management & Outsourcing (2LOD), Bank of Ireland UK

The regulatory and geopolitical landscapes today demand a fundamental shift in how we think about third-party risk management and operational resilience. After two decades in legal, risk, and compliance roles across global investment banks, financial market infrastructures, and fintechs, I have witnessed the cycles of regulatory evolution firsthand. Yet today’s environment feels markedly different, and it calls for a more streamlined, proactive approach that balances complexity with clarity.

One of the most urgent areas we must address is the way geopolitical tensions intersect with third-party risk. The ongoing conflicts involving Russia and Ukraine, alongside the turmoil in Israel and Palestine, highlight how fragile supply chains and service arrangements can become under jurisdictional stress. Financial institutions must ensure that critical and important functions continue uninterrupted, no matter where services originate. The key lies in building resilience through jurisdictional awareness and service continuity planning. If all else fails, institutions must be prepared with credible, tested step-in measures that allow them to sustain services to their customers without major disruption.

At the same time, we need to rethink exit strategies. The complexity around third-party frameworks can sometimes obscure the basic principles that should drive operational decisions. Simplification is essential. When planning exit strategies, firms should focus first on their important business services and critical functions, and then on the people, processes, tools, and systems that support them. Effective mapping isn’t just a regulatory exercise — it is the foundation for making sure that organizations can disentangle themselves quickly and cleanly from third parties when necessary. Complexity is often the enemy of resilience. By simplifying the way we map and understand these dependencies, firms can better position themselves for rapid and effective responses when the unexpected happens.

Governance plays a critical role in this effort. It is not enough for operational risk teams to manage these issues in isolation. True resilience requires engagement from the very top of the organization, with the board fully involved in oversight and strategy. Governance frameworks must be built to ensure that third-party risks are monitored consistently and escalated appropriately, with senior executives and directors actively challenging assumptions and stress-testing plans. Without board-level engagement, even the most sophisticated third-party risk frameworks are likely to falter under pressure.

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